Allison’s Three Models of Government Action
In his classic 1969 article, Conceptual models and the Cuban Missile Crisis, Graham Allison (reference below) sets out three models or lenses for analyzing government action. WikiSummary (reference below) summarizes these as: Model 1. The state acts as a unitary rational actor to make “decisions.” Model 2. The sub-units of the state act ...
Analysts think about problems of foreign and military policy in terms of largely implicit concep- tual models that have significant consequences for the content of their thought?
Allison: Conceptual models and the Cuban Missile Crisis
Conceptual models and the Cuban Missile Crisis. American Political Science Review 63: 689-718. Allison presents three models of government (and bureaucratic) action, any of which might correctly explain what happened during the Cuban Missile Crisis.
CONCEPTUAL MODELS AND THE CUBAN MISSILE CRISIS: RATIONAL POLICY. ORGANIZATION PROCESS, AND BUREAUCRATIC POLITICS Graham T. Allison Harvard University Consultant to The RAND Corporation, Santa Monica, California When one is puzzled by a happening in foreign affairs, the pinch
Conceptual Models and the Cuban Missile Crisis - RAND …
Three conceptual models are developed and applied to the same problem: the Cuban missile crisis and the U.S. decision to impose a blockade on Cuba. Model I (Rational Policy) examines the U.S. strategic calculus: the problem posed by the …
Conceptual Models and the Cuban Missile Crisis
Sep 21, 2012 · In arguing that explanations proceed in terms of implicit conceptual models, this essay makes no claim that foreign policy analysts have developed any satisfactory, empirically tested theory. In this essay, the use of the term “model” without qualifiers should be read “conceptual scheme.”
The publication of Graham Allison’s “Conceptual Models and the Cuban Missile Crisis” (1969) and Essence of Decision: Explaining the Cuban Missile Crisis (1971) revolu tionized foreign policy analysis. In those seminal works, Allison introduced two new deci sion-making approaches – the governmental politics model (more commonly ...
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Conceptual Models and the Cuban Missile Crisis Graham T. Allison The American Political Science Review, Vol. 63, No. 3. (Sep., 1969), pp. 689-718. Stable URL: http://links.jstor.org/sici?sici=0003-0554%28196909%2963%3A3%3C689%3ACMATCM%3E2.0.CO%3B2-%23 The American Political Science Review is currently published by American Political Science ...
Essence of Decision-Reading Guide - Defense Media Activity
How might competing conceptual models be combined to better explain or predict behavior in crisis decision making? What strategic lessons can be learned from the Cuban Missile Crisis?